
Hey everyone! It's now hit Saturday in wet and windy Blighty and am readily anticipating what is going to be closely contested races in both Nevada and South Carolina. The Democrats have to wait until next Saturday for their South Carolina primary so all three major candidates have been in Nevada for most of the week, and to quote every single news and television pundit out there, the gloves have come off. The Culinary workers union have won their lawsuit to allow precincts for the caucus to be established in the Strip, meaning that they will be able to vote during working hours (the caucuses close at 4pm ET for R, 5pm for D). This is especially important for Obama's campaign as the Culinary Union of casino employees, the states largest union, has lent it's support to Obama. Critics of this result for the union have argued that it unfavourably favours them against other workers, and the suit was filed by the Teachers Union, who have ties to Clinton. Um, I'm not sure of any teacher that works on a Saturday mind you. Anyhoo the latest polls show Obama a few points behind Hillary, with a four point margin of error, so it's pretty much a tie in the polls. It's going to be incredibly tight but I'm going to predict an Clinton win. The Republicans it is also a close race between Romney and McCain, but can see Romney picking up the win here.
But the Republicans are focusing their energies on the South Carolina Primary, with only Romney making a fleeting appearance in Nevada this week. Again it is a close race and the vast demographic of Christians in the state is going to favour Huckabee. Huckabee should do well here, followed closely by McCain. However many pundits have agreed if McCain fails to win, then he will lose his current frontrunner status. Polls close at 7pm ET (12am GMT).
Unfortunately this will be the first races of the primary season that I am unable to watch live due to a friends birthday on the same night. It has caused me great distress all week. But fear now, I will be back to my late night/early morning primary watching for the Democrat SC primary next Sat. I have checked-no one has any birthdays! Check back here on Sunday for a closer look at Nevada and South Carolina, as I nurse my inevitable hangover.
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